Wednesday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA – Strong T-storms possible PM

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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

TS in chopper
Photography by Paul Purpura
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Looking at Tommy looking at Paul from the helicopter
Wingina, Virginia

Paul on ground
Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Looking at Paul looking at Tommy in the helicopter
Wingina, Virginia

Now this is a rare shot. Recently when I was up in Al Stacey’s chopper shooting video over the James near Winginia, our NCL photographer, Paul Purpura, was on the ground shooting boats on the river. We made a low pass over Paul at the Wingina landing. He got this shot in the top picture of me, I got the shot of him in the lower picture. Can you say dueling cameras!

Tuesday was a pretty quiet day across the area. Some thunderstorms did pop up in the afternoon, but most of Nelson County stayed dry. Today brings the possible threat of strong possibly severe weather later in the afternoon in to the evening. Overnight a frontal boundary has moved back northward allowing moist air to spread back over our area. This combined with daytime heating may provide the necessary ingredients for strong to severe weather. NWS hazardous weather outlook references this.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY…EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA…NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA…
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS BETWEEN
2 PM AND 8 PM.

This bears watching throughout the afternoon and really comes down to if we get lots of sunshine today, this will help get the storms fired up. Keep an eye here on the web site to see the latest developments. If we get ample daytime heating things will start popping.

Here’s the numbers from Tuesday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
High: 91.0 degrees @ 4:13 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
High: 77.5 degrees @ 1:44 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
High: 89.4 degrees @ 3:43 PM
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map shows a stationary front working back to our north allowing moist air to spill back over the area. A Bermuda High located out in the Atlantic will continue to spill that warm and unstable air into Central Virginia.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, as the day wears on the air mass across Nelson will become more unstable and thunderstorms will break out.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Today Partly sunny this morning with spotty fog and isolated thunderstorms west. Scattered thunderstorms, some possibly strong to severe, in the afternoon across 40% of the area. Hot & muggy.
*High temps in Wingina, Tyro, and Piney River 93 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny warm and humid with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, some possibly strong to severe.
Highs top out around 78 degrees.
Winds SW 5-10 MPH

*Tonight Mostly cloudy, muggy & warm with thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in any areas that get rain.
*Lows valley around 71 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 70.
*Winds SW-5 MPH.

*In the extended outlook
Thursday Partly cloudy, hot and humid, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 40% of the area. Highs in the mid 90’s valley, around 88 degrees on the mountains.

Friday Partly sunny, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 30% of the area.
Highs around 85 valley – Partly cloudy mountains, Scattered afternoon thunderstorms
High around 80. Overnight lows generally in the upper 60’s valley and mountains.

The weekend looks mostly sunny and cooler with afternoon highs cooling into the 80’s valley, upper 70’s mountains. Overnight lows 60’s valley – upper 50’s mountains.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Wednesday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

3 COMMENTS

  1. Yes, Nelson was mostly dry last evening, as we got soaked while in Staunton going to dinner and music at The Dining Room. As Count Alain says, “We were not in ‘the path’ for the rain.” 🙂

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