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Monday Weather : Wintergreen, BRP & Nelson County, VA : Sunny & Warm : Rain by Tuesday??

[ 0 ] October 22, 2007 |

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (some PC users may need to click play button twice)

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : © 2007
Walton’s Mountain Museum 15th
Schuyler, Virginia

Walton Mtn 15th

hayride28

bluegrass

A fabulous weekend in Central Virginia! After some much needed rainfall toward the end of last week, Saturday & Sunday cleared out to be wonderful days with temps again above normal around 80 degrees. At night we have seen some 30’s for overnight lows in the past few days. The weather was perfect for the 15th anniversary of The Walton’s Mountain Museum in Schuyler this past weekend. Hayrides, all kinds of music and food, along with plenty of history on The Walton’s television series inspired by our very good friend, Earl Hamner, Jr’s childhood in Schuyler.

We’ll see a return of those 80 degree temps again today before some pretty drastic changes begin taking shape over the next 48 hours. Expect chances for rain to increase on Tuesday and depending on which models and forecasters you listen to, the rain could last much of the week. The NWS in Sterling. VA says it will be a Tuesday rain event ending by Wednesday night. The NWS in Blacksburg which forecasts as far north as Amherst, shows rain hanging in there until Friday afternoon. I understand why their is so much of a divide since the computer models they look at are not agreeing at all right now. But, I can tell you I favor the NWS in Blacksburg more, they generally are far more accurate than the ones in the D.C. area, who are actually in charge of forecasting our weather believe it or not! And if you’ve been here very much over the past year you know my feelings about relying on computer weather models too much. Mmmm, wonder what happened to that extremely active hurricane season predicted!

Regardless of which forecast you believe we will see a cool down of temps after today, first to the 70’s then 60’s later in the week.

The current national forecast map shows an approaching cold front that will provide rain chances by Tuesday at the latest. Over the next 24 hours we’ll better be able to tell how much and how long the rain will last.

If you go out about 48 hours you can see the front still in the area with chances of rain.

Regional Radar look via Wundergound.com

And for those of you keeping score at home, The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT last night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Sunday High: 79.7°
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Sunday High: 68.9°
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Sunday High: 79.0°
0.00″ of rain

*NEW*NCL-Hatcreek Farm on Horseshoe Mountain : Sunday High: 78.1°
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Winery & Vineyard : Faber, VA
Sunday High: N/A°
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Sunday High: 78.6°
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Sunday High: N/A°
0.00″ of rain

Your local forecast
*Today Patchy morning fog, then sunny & Mild
*High temps in Schuyler, Beech Grove, & Tyro around 80°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Patchy morning fog then sunny & pleasant.
Highs top out around 70°
Winds: SW 5-10 MPH increasing 10-15

*Tonight Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Showers possible after midnight. Mild.
*Lows valley near: 60°
*On the mountains: 58°
*Winds: S 10-15 MPH

Tomorrow Cloudy with showers in the morning with rain likely by afternoon over 50% of the area. 80% of the area.
* Valley: 74°
*On the mountains – near 67°
Winds: S 10-15 MPH becoming SW around 5 MPH by afternoon.

*Tomorrow night: Rain showers continuing – Lows near 57° valley – 42° mountains.
Winds: SW 5-MPH

The remainder of the week Showers continuing through at least Wednesday night possibly Wednesday, maybe as late as Friday – Daytime highs generally mid and upper 60’s valley – on the mountains cloudy, damp & cool highs in the mid and upper 50’s – Overnight lows – mid and upper 40’s valley & low 40’s mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Monday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

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