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Mr. T’s Weekend Forecast – Nelson County, VA – including Wintergreen

[ 0 ] April 20, 2007 |

Updated: 4.20.07 3:25PM EDT – for mention of frost advisory west of BRP

Good Friday evening. Not much change in the forecast, however, as I mentioned in the post Friday morning, with clear skies we will have excellent radiational cooling tonight especially when the winds die down.(without clouds the heat of the day escapes upward) Here in the immediate Nelson area a little less of a problem, but still could see some spotty frost in areas, especially in those low spots. It won’t take much on a night like tonight.

NWS Sterliing has issued a Frost Advisory in neighboring Augusta County on the west side of the mountain, but not east:

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
243 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2007

MDZ003>007-VAZ025>031-WVZ050>053-055-210400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0001.070421T0600Z-070421T1500Z/
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HAGERSTOWN…FREDERICK…WESTMINSTER…
STAUNTON…WAYNESBORO…HARRISONBURG…WINCHESTER…FRONT ROYAL…
MARTINSBURG…CHARLES TOWN
243 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2007

…FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
FROST ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL TONIGHT AS WINDS DIMINISH. MANY
LOCATIONS IN THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND
TONIGHT WILL SEE LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THIS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF FROST BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS EXPECTED. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE DAMAGED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

Though we aren’t under an official advisory here at Wintergreen, Lovingston, Faber, Afton, etc – it’s still possible to see some frost. Dewpoints right now are running around the lower 40’s here at our NCL office in Greenfield but are in the upper 30’s on the other side of the mountain. Think we’ll see those temps lower enough tonight to have the frost mentioned.

Just be aware of that and remember we aren’t really out of the “frosting” woods until late this month / early May so keep an eye on those plants.

Have a great weekend!
-T-

Good Friday morning! TGIF!

Wow what a week it has been. It’s been a tough week here in Virginia, weather wise and more. First let’s remember all of the families at VT today at noon. That’s the time set aside for folks to remember the people who lost their lives in the tragedy earlier this week, and the families left behind. It’s been a hell of a week for them.

Weather wise it was a pretty grim start to the week as well. Cold, high winds, snow, power outages, you name it we had a little of everything. Fortunately today marks the beginning of a change in the weather patterns over the next 7-10 days. Finally we are working back toward more seasonal normals which should be around 70 degrees average for daytime highs. We’ll easily make that in the coming days and then some!

Today look for mostly sunny skies and temps near 70 valley and 63 or so mountains. Winds will be around 5-8 MPH from the north. Tonight skies remain clear and with those clear skies we cool pretty easily to around 40 degrees valley – mountains 35 to 37 degrees.

Weekend Outlook

Saturday – Sunny & 75 below upper 60’s mountains
Sunday – Sunny & 79 valley – 73 mountains

Lows both of those nights will be generally in the 40’s – lower 40’s mountains.

By next week look for 80 degrees on Monday and Tuesday – Tuesday we see slight chances for rain – Wednesday, Thurs & Friday look a tad cooler but still miid with temps cooling to the low and mid 70’s. Don’t see any freezing temps in the extended period.

In short, we end the week much better than we started it. Enjoy this weather today and really enjoy it tomorrow. Yvette and I will be heading out to Pharsalia on Saturday for the Folk Festival. This is going to be great and perfect weather for it. Everyone in the Nelson Rotary and at Pharsalia have done an excellent job in getting ready for it.

We’ll see you there!

Have a great weekend!
-T-

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