SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT : Severe Weather Potential Increasing Across Virginia – Watch Issued

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    REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE

    Updated : 1:30 PM EDT : A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has now been issued until 9PM EDT tonight.

    Previous post:
    The atmosphere over Virginia is becoming increasingly unstable as the afternoon wears on. In the discussion below (a precursor to many watches) the Storm Prediction Center is hinting at a watch forthcoming later today.

    Check back here often for updates.
    NCL

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1418
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    1154 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

    AREAS AFFECTED…ERN WV…NRN VA…MD…DE…SRN PA…NJ…NYC AREA

    CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY

    VALID 161654Z – 161900Z

    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING ACROSS
    PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS
    LIKELY BY 18Z.

    WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
    OH/WV. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS NOW MOVING
    INTO WESTERN WV. LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH FEATURE WILL
    CROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO PARTS OF MD/VA IN THE NEXT FEW
    HOURS. MEANWHILE…POCKETS OF STRONG HEATING HAVE OCCURRED IN MOST
    AREAS FROM THE NYC AREA SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN VA. NO CAP
    REMAINS AND PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO
    DEVELOP IN THIS AREA SOON. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
    SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF HAIL AND
    GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS.

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