Wintergreen Weather : Thursday : BRP, AT, & Nelson County, VA : Widespread Rain Developing : Cooler : Snow Sunday Night?

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Photography By Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine ©2008
Skies Over Greenfield
Afton, Virginia

Blue Sky Greenfield

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Click the image above for the ski and slope conditions at Wintergreen Resort.

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

Wednesday’s High / Low Temp at NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine in the Rockfish Valley : 68.4° / °
Wednesday’s High / Low Temp at NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation on Devil’s Knob @ Wintergreen Mountain : 52.5° / °

We enjoyed another mild day across Nelson County and Central Virginia Wednesday. Temperatures tried to make it to 70° once again but just couldn’t pull it out this time, but not by much. Many valley locations hit the mid and upper 60’s.

Thursday will start out pretty quiet, but as the day wears on clouds will increase and rain showers will develop by afternoon. Heavier rain will move in Thursday night into Friday morning before skies become partly cloudy Friday night into Saturday. By Sunday, look for clouds to once again increase with rain moving in by afternoon and evening, mixing with snow possibly. It’s a bit far out to know exactly what will happen, but there is the potential for this to be a significant system if all of the elements come together.

Forecasters with the Sterling office of the NWS make mention of their thinking in the Wednesday evening forecast discussion:

Uncertainty is somewhat higher for sun-Monday due to inconsistencies in
GFS model. Preference is toward 00z European model (ecmwf)/HPC which has shown
Superior performance during the past few months and good consistency
with potential storm late sun into Monday. New 12z European model (ecmwf) still shows a
coastal storm but a track a bit further inland. New 12z European model (ecmwf)
solution if correct would give a decent snow event for the
Appalachians mountains
with rain more likely over the major metropolitan
cities. Exact details still to be resolved over the next couple of
days.

Essentially they are talking about the different computer models and what they are projecting. By Friday we’ll have a better handle on what the situation looks like, but right now I’d say it warrants paying attention to. Again this would be Sunday evening into Monday morning at this time.

We continue our Nelson County Virginia music artists promotion this week. Read lots more below and listen as we head out of today’s weather.

Regional Current Surface Map via wunderground

Looking Ahead

And for those of you keeping score at home check the detailed numbers at any of our reporting NCL-Weathernet Stations for real up to the minute live weather data and detailed information including highs, lows, wind speeds, rainfall and much, much more, simply use the handy drop down menu on the upper left hand side of your screen.

Your Nelson County Life custom area forecast including: Greenfield, Nellysford, Lovingston & Arrington

Thursday: Partly sunny early then mostly cloudy with rain showers developing by afternoon. Cooler
* Highs Valley: 46-49°
*On the mountains: 45-48°
*Winds: SE 5-10 MPH
*OVERNIGHT: Widespread moderate rain likely. Lows valley: 40-43° : Mountains: 39-42° : Winds: S 10-15 MPH

Friday: Cloudy with rain early then partly sunny by afternoon. Warmer.
* Highs Valley: 57-60°
*On the mountains: 49-52°
*Winds: SW 10-15 MPH
*OVERNIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows valley: 31-34° : Mountains: 28-31° : Winds: W-5 MPH

In the extended period: Weekend Saturday looks partly cloudy with a high near 50° in the valley and mid 40’s mountains. By Saturday night skies become mostly cloudy with lows in the mid 30’s valley and mid 20’s mountains. On Sunday we may start the day with a peek of sun but clouds thicken by noon with rain developing. Rain mixes with, and may change to snow overnight Sunday into Monday. Highs Sunday reach the mid 40’s valley and upper 30’s mountains.

Monday, the rain snow mix continues early with highs in the lower 40’s valley a bit cooler mountains.

Jan Smith again takes us out, with a cut from her latest CD 29 Dances. This one is called True Love.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson.COM

jan smith 29 dances
Today’s cut is True Love from the CD 29 Dances.

Visit Jan’s Homepage by clicking right here to learn more about her CD.

Louisville, Kentucky native Jan Smith writes songs rooted in vibrant imagery and sincere, stark emotion. The artists whose music she grew up with — Merle Haggard, Nina Simone, and Townes Van Zant among many others – influence her work, as does the traditional bluegrass music of her new home in the mountains of central Virginia.

On April 4, 2006, Landslide Records released “29 Dances,” produced in Nashville by Bil VornDick (Alison Krauss, Ralph Stanley). The record features Johnny Hiland, Byron House (Sam Bush, Nickel Creek), Pat McInerney (Nanci Griffith), Randy Kohrs, David Talbot (the Grascals), Mark Fain (Ricky Skaggs), Robert Bowlin (Bill Monroe), Patty Mitchell, and Smith’s partner, Jeff Vogelgesang.

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