Thursday Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP & Nelson County, VA : Continued Nice : Showers by Friday

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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

Updated 8:30 AM EDT : Tropical storm Humberto has briefly become a hurricane for the past several hours. So much for those fancy weather computers, and they want to tell us what’s going to happen in 20 years? Anyway, it will dump lots of rain along the coast and inland as far as north Mississippi. Models then have it hooking east with no threat to VA thus far.

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Photography by Tommy Stafford
For Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Horse Ride in Afton
Afton, Virginia

Afton horses

Wednesday certainly felt like fall for part of the day! Mild temperatures and low humidities made it really nice. A great afternoon to get out and take a ride on your horse, like these two above did in Afton. Last night was fall feeling as well with many 50’s overnight and even some upper 40’s in the outlying areas. Today will be another nice day before a cold front brings in a chance for showers Friday and Friday night. By the weekend we should clear out with mild cool weather for the weekend.

A couple of things to keep an eye on tropical depression / storm wise over the next several days. First, Tropical Storm Humberto is working from the gulf into Texas and Louisiana. Right now it’s no threat to us, but as you can see from the 5 day track it has general predictions to head east. I am not very concerned about this one, but if conditions were just right it could be kicked in our direction. It’s a long shot, but we’ll keep any eye out.
Projected 5 day path

I am a bit more interested right now in what’s become Tropical Depression #8 out in the Atlantic. We’ve been watching this low pressure area over the past several days and now it’s formed into a depression. It could actually reach hurricane strength in the next 3-4 days, though many factors have to come together for that to happen. I do think it will be a tropical storm today or tonight. Long range some other things have to come into play for it to form into a hurricane with any longevity. – I’ll keep you posted.
Projected 5 day path

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT last night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Wed High: 83.8° @ 3:48 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Wed High: 72.0° @ 2:13 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Wed High: 84.7° @ 3:56 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Wed High: 84.6° @ 4:20 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Mon High: 84.6° @ 4:51 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Tues High: 83.8° @ 10:49 AM
0.00″ of rain

*Non-NCL Station @ Crozet, VA
Tues High: 79.5° @ 3:09 PM
0.00″ of rain

The National Forecast Map shows high mild high pressure in control of our weather for one more day. An approaching cold front will increase our chances for rain on Friday. After the front passes expect clearing skies for the weekend and much milder weather. Very fall like.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Thursday Mostly sunny early then partly sunny in the afternoon. Pleasant.
*High temps in Afton, Ivy, & Lovingston 79°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly sunny in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon.
Highs top out around 71°
Winds: Northerly early shifting SE 4-8 MPH

*Tonight Partly cloudy in the evening then mostly cloudy late.
*Lows valley around 60°
*On the mountains overnight low near 60° as well.
*Winds: SE 5-10 MPH

Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, perhaps a thunderstorm over 40% of the area.
*Highs valley around 78°
*On the mountains around 72°
Winds: SE 5-10
*Friday night: Scattered showers – Lows generally around 60 valley – upper 50’s mountains.
Winds: SE becoming NNW late @ 5-10 MPH

Saturday A lingering shower early morning then partly sunny, daytime highs in the upper 70’s Saturday cooling to low 70’s by Sunday in the valley – around the mid & upper 60’s on the mountains. Overnight lows in the lower 50’s valley – and upper 40’s mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

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