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Thursday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, Virginia : Hot : Some Severe Storms : Cooler Weekend

[ 0 ] August 16, 2007 |

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

NEW! AUDIO VERSION OF TODAY’S FORECAST

Photography by Paul Purpura
Nelson County Life Magazine – Copyright 2007
Summer Clouds over Lake Monacan
Lovingston, Virginia

monocan clouds

For the most part Wednesday was a nice but warm day across Central Virginia. Our Paul Purpura caught a nice sumer cloud scene above at Lake Monacan. Hard to believe we’ll be talking ice & snow there in just a few short months!

Even though temps made it easily into the mid 90′s Wednesday, the humidity wasn’t very high so it was much more comfortable than last week. Thursday will be a hot day with increasing humidity and temperatures very near 100 degrees. We’ll see increasing chances for thunderstorms by late afternoon and evening. Some storms may become severe. The most likely areas are outlined below:

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE…WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. GIVEN THE WIND FIELD IN
THE ATMOSPHERE…AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

The biggest severe threat is from straight line thunderstorm winds, but an isolated tornado is possible, especially points north and east of Nelson.

Tropical storm Dean is now Hurricane Dean and continues to peak interest in the Atlantic as it heads toward the gulf. I am not in crisis mode over this storm yet, let’s see how he turns by Sunday. He could go toward Texas / Mexico or get kicked up the Eastern Seaboard. If it still holds together and starts tracking our way by late weekend, then I’ll pay attention more, and so should you, otherwise no worries yet.
Here’s the latest tracking map:

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Monday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton
Wed High: 95.5 degrees @ 3:06 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob
Wed High: 84.6 degrees @ 1:18 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove
Wed High: 95.9 degrees @ 2:01 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery near Hickory Creek : Faber
Wed High: N/A degrees @ 0:00 PM {STATION OFFLINE}
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Wed High: 96.1 degrees @ 4:01 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington
Wed High: 96.1 degrees @ 1:48 PM
0.00″ of rain

On the current surface map, high pressure begins to weaken today as a cold front makes its way toward us.
Current-Sat Surface Map

On the National Forecast Map, the front makes its way into the area this afternoon and tonight. Cooler high pressure moves in for the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Thursday Partly sunny and hot. Thunderstorms (some severe) by late afternoon into the evening across 40% of the area.
*High temps in Stoney Creek, Rockfish Gap & Schuyler near 100.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny and hot with afternoon & evening thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 88 degrees.
Winds SW 5-10 MPH

*Thursday night Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms (some severe early) across 40% of the area.
*Lows valley around 70 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 69 degrees.
*Winds SW 5-10

Friday Partly sunny with lingering showers or a t-storm early.
*Highs valley near 93
*On the mountains around 80 – Northerly winds.
*Friday night partly cloudy with lows generally in the low 60′s mountain and valley.

By the weekend cooler with highs on around 80 in the valley and near 70 on the mountains. Overnight lows in the 50′s to lower 60′s.

When severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

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